Why Pakistan's Delaying its Waziristan Push

Well, not to say I told you so, but … Pak­istan will need months to pre­pare for a ground offen­sive against the Tal­iban in their South Waziris­tan strong­hold on the Afghan bor­der, a senior army com­man­der said on Tues­day, cit­ing equip­ment short­ages. … “It’s going to take months,” and pos­si­bly beyond the com­ing win­ter, [Lt. Gen. Nadeem] Ahmed said, when […]

Stratfor: Mehsud's Death Confirmed

From Strat­for: Pak­istani Intel­li­gence sources have con­firmed Bait­ul­lah Mehsud’s death, Pak­istani For­eign Min­is­ter Shah Mehmood Qureshi said Aug. 7, Dawn News reported. Bait­ul­lah Mehsud, the leader of the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pak­istan (TTP) insur­gent group, along with one of his wives and six body­guards were killed in a mis­sile attack Aug. 5. Reuters reported that the TTP leadership […]

Baitullah Mehsud May Be Dead

ISLAM­ABAD — If con­firmed, this would be a huge vic­tory in the fight against tak­firi mil­i­tants in Pak­istan: U.S. and Pak­istani author­i­ties were inves­ti­gat­ing whether Pak­istani Tal­iban chief Bait­ul­lah Mehsud, who has led a vio­lent cam­paign of sui­cide attacks and assas­si­na­tions against Pakistan’s gov­ern­ment, was killed in a CIA mis­sile strike. A Pak­istani offi­cial said Fri­day that reports of […]

Baitullah Mehsud Rival Gunned Down

ISLAM­ABAD — Hoo, boy, talk about Pro­pa­ganda of the Deed. Early this morn­ing, Qar’i Zain­ud­din Mehsud, who just days ago spoke out pub­licly against Tehrik-i-Taliban Pak­istan (TTP) leader, Bait­ul­lah Mehsud, was shot dead by his own body­guard. AfPax Insider had a scoop in wait, with a 14-minute inter­view with the old jihadist, who had decided that his […]

The Great Escape

I’m glad to see a lit­tle light thrown on this story. And very glad to know David and Tahir are safe. KABUL, Afghanistan — An Afghan jour­nal­ist who was held cap­tive by the Tal­iban for more than seven months along with a New York Times reporter revealed details on Sun­day of a night­time escape that included weeks of careful […]

Taking the Eyes Off the Ball

Both Nicholas Schmi­dle, author of “To Live or to Per­ish For­ever: Two Tumul­tuous Years in Pak­istan,” and Andrew Exum (Abu Muqawama, yo) are warn­ing that expand­ing the Pak­istan mil­i­tary oper­a­tion, cur­rently push­ing back the Tal­iban from the Swat Val­ley, to Waziris­tan right now is likely a big mis­take. Schmidle’s con­cerns are logis­ti­cal and prac­ti­cal: … it […]

Operation Rahi-i-Rast: One Month On

Yes­ter­day marked the one-month mark for the Pak­istani military’s offen­sive against the Tal­iban in the Swat region. How are things going? Let’s assess: This week­end saw the begin­ning of the bat­tle for Min­gora, the valley’s admin­is­tra­tive seat. The mil­i­tary is reported to be in con­trol of about half of the city, but some Tal­iban fighters […]

Interview with the Taliban

The New York Times has a fas­ci­nat­ing story today. It’s an inter­view with a Tal­iban logis­tics tac­ti­cian the Times has been work­ing on for six months. He finally spills the beans on the Tal­iban plans for Pak­istan and Afghanistan, the strate­gies they will use and what they fear. He was clued into the Petraeus doc­trine, used to good […]

A Downbeat Assessment on FATA and Pakistan

Yes­ter­day was an exer­cise in frus­tra­tion as far as con­nec­tiv­ity and the future of Pak­istan were con­cerned. I was at the Jamestown Foundation’s con­fer­ence, “Pakistan’s Trou­bled Fron­tier: The Future of FATA and the NWFP” with­out wire­less or cell phone cov­er­age. So my plans for live-blogging were foiled. But I wanted to post some notes and impres­sions nonetheless. […]

Mullah Nazeer Confirms Taliban Alliance, Threatens Islamabad

On Tues­day, the media arm of al Qaeda, as-Sahab Media, released an almost hour-long video fea­tur­ing an inter­view with Mul­lah Nazzer Ahmad, aka Maulvi Nazir, who is the emir of South Waziris­tan. This is his first appear­ance in an as-Sahab video, accord­ing to Intel­Cen­ter, and is sig­nif­i­cant in that it ties the Pak­istani Tal­iban leader […]