Operation Rahi-i-Rast: One Month On

Yes­ter­day marked the one-month mark for the Pak­istani military’s offen­sive against the Tal­iban in the Swat region. How are things going? Let’s assess:
This week­end saw the begin­ning of the bat­tle for Min­gora, the valley’s admin­is­tra­tive seat. The mil­i­tary is reported to be in con­trol of about half of the city, but some Tal­iban fight­ers are […]

Taliban Giving Up? Not Likely.

Hm. This is inter­est­ing:
The Tal­iban on Mon­day urged civil­ians to return to the Swat Valley’s main city, promis­ing they would not attack secu­rity forces bat­tling for con­trol out of con­cern for the safety of trapped res­i­dents.
The order allegedly comes from Maulana Fazlul­lah, the Swat Tal­iban leader, who has ordered his men to stop fight­ing the Pakistani […]

Ebbing Public Support for Offensive

Al Jazeera Eng­lish is report­ing ebbing pub­lic sup­port for the Pak­istani Army’s offen­sive against the Tal­iban in Swat, Buner and Dir. This fits with what hap­pens with you turn an Army into a wreck­ing crew. Pak­istan doesn’t really do population-centric operations.

Fighting intensifies in Pakistan

An inter­est­ing report from Al Jazeera Eng­lish on con­di­tions on the ground in Malakand as of yes­ter­day. The sound­bytes from the men of Buner are wor­ri­some: the gov­ern­ment and the mil­i­tary have very lit­tle sup­port among the peo­ple they’re allegedly sav­ing, indi­cat­ing the army may attain short-term tac­ti­cal gains, but con­tinue to fail in its […]

Pakistani Army to Taliban: Game on

Wel­come news if it’s fol­lowed up on:
ISLAM­ABAD, Pak­istan, May 7 (UPI) — Pak­istani gov­ern­ment offi­cials Thurs­day said they would scrap a peace deal with the Tal­iban and under­take a more aggres­sive oper­a­tion against the mil­i­tants.
The mil­i­tary announced it would begin a major offen­sive in the Swat Val­ley, site of the fal­ter­ing deal between the Pak­istani mil­i­tary and Taliban […]

Shooting Oneself in the Foot in Swat

How not to con­duct an effec­tive counter-insurgency (COIN) cam­paign:
ISLAM­ABAD — Thou­sands of pan­icked res­i­dents on foot and crammed in buses, vans and trucks fled Swat val­ley north of Pakistan’s cap­i­tal Tues­day fol­low­ing the break­down of a frag­ile truce between gov­ern­ment forces and the Tal­iban.
Author­i­ties lifted a cur­few for a few hours to allow res­i­dents to evac­u­ate as the […]

Interview with the Taliban

The New York Times has a fas­ci­nat­ing story today. It’s an inter­view with a Tal­iban logis­tics tac­ti­cian the Times has been work­ing on for six months. He finally spills the beans on the Tal­iban plans for Pak­istan and Afghanistan, the strate­gies they will use and what they fear.
He was clued into the Petraeus doc­trine, used to good effect […]

Mullen: Afghanistan is New Strategic Focus

Afghanistan has been an ‘economy-of-force’ oper­a­tion for far too long,” Adm. Mike Mullen said. “The Tal­iban, aided by al-Qaida and other extrem­ists and safe havens across the bor­der, are recruit­ing through intim­i­da­tion, con­trol­ling through fear and advanc­ing an unwel­come ide­ol­ogy through thuggery.”

Obama and Pakistan's Nukes

I’ve been try­ing to digest the news of Pakistan’s offen­sive against the Tal­iban and come up with some­thing smart to say, but I’m left with more ques­tions than answers on why the Pak­istani Army finally got off the couch and decided to do some­thing about the rowdy kids in its front yard. Why now? Will […]

Taliban Surge in Pakistan

I’ve been feel­ing a bit on the unin­spired side of things over the past two days, espe­cially after I wrote about the Tal­iban push into Buner. The mag­ni­tude of the prob­lems fac­ing Pak­istan and the dan­ger it causes to the world are enough to make any­one a bit moody. But then it seemed the mil­i­tants were pulling back […]

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