Pakistan's Civil War

It is now clear the ISI build­ing in Lahore was the tar­get of Tuesday’s deadly blast. Tehrik-i-Taliban Pak­istan (TTP) has claimed respon­si­bil­ity for the blast yes­ter­day that killed at least 30 peo­ple and wounded more than 200.

We have achieved our tar­get. We were look­ing for this tar­get for a long time. It was a reac­tion to the Swat oper­a­tion,” said Hakimul­lah Mehsud, a mil­i­tant com­man­der and deputy to TTP chief Bait­ul­lah Mehsud. More attacks are on the way, he added.

We want the peo­ple of Lahore, Rawalpindi, Islam­abad and Mul­tan to leave those cities, as we plan major attacks against gov­ern­ment facil­i­ties in com­ing days and weeks,” he told the Reuters news agency.

Also, just a day after the Lahore bomb­ing, at least 13 peo­ple were killed and more than 100 injured in a series of bomb­ings in Peshawar and Dera Ismail Khan.

Pakistan policemen look through the window of an ambulance bringing another dead body to the morgue killed in the suicide bomb attack in Lahore, Pakistan. (Paula Bronstein/Getty Images)

Pak­istan police­men look through the win­dow of an ambu­lance bring­ing another dead body to the morgue killed in the sui­cide bomb attack in Lahore, Pak­istan. (Paula Bronstein/Getty Images)

But what does that mean that the Direc­torate for Inter-Services Intel­li­gence, which for years has cul­ti­vated jihadist mil­i­tants, has become a tar­get? For one, it shows that even in the face of a month-long mil­i­tary effort, mil­i­tant groups can still plan and exe­cute sophis­ti­cated attacks. And it shows they can exe­cute them out­side their usual ter­ri­to­ries (the FATA and NWFP) in nom­i­nally unfriendly ter­rain (Pun­jab.) The addi­tional bomb­ings from today show that the oper­a­tional capac­ity of the TTP and other mil­i­tant groups does not seem to be much dimin­ished despite the Pak­istani military’s operations.

On the other hand, it shows that Pak­istani secu­rity mea­sures are at least able to mit­i­gate attacks. Were it not for the stand-off secu­rity mea­sures in place, the ISI build­ing would have been destroyed and the death toll would have been far higher. That’s a valu­able les­son for the secu­rity forces to learn.

And finally, what it means is that Pak­istan is, with­out a doubt, in the midst a civil war. Strat­for reports that the grow­ing vio­lence and attacks against civil­ians are forc­ing a degree of intro­spec­tion among Pak­istani lead­ers and its peo­ple as to what kind of soci­ety they want to be. This could be a good thing as the Pak­istani estab­lish­ment has long strug­gled with how to deal with the “good” Tal­iban — those mil­i­tants who strike out­side of Pak­istan — and the “bad” Tal­iban. Now, things have been clar­i­fied. Pak­istan today issued rewards for the arrest or death Tal­iban lead­ers in Pak­istan, includ­ing Swat Tal­iban leader Maulana Fazlul­lah ($61,690) and Tal­iban spokesman Mus­lim Khan ($37,014).

If this offen­sive against jihadi mil­i­tants con­tin­ues, Pak­istan will have taken another step in an iden­tity strug­gle that begun at its inception. Would it be a home­land for South Asian Mus­lims, but allow other reli­gions and sects to wor­ship freely in a sec­u­lar pub­lic space? Or would it be a van­guard of Islamism, pro­tect­ing both its phys­i­cal and ide­o­log­i­cal fron­tiers from India and other non-Muslim threats? That debate — which will con­tinue to be vio­lent — is fully engaged now and it remains to be seen what the out­come will be. I hope Pak­ista­nis choose the first choice — it was the likely vision of Pakistan’s founder Muham­mad Ali Jin­nah, after all.

Comments

3 Responses to “Pakistan's Civil War”
  1. Jon Ant says:

    I won­der what the aver­age Pakistani’s per­cep­tion of the Tale­ban and affil­i­ated groups is com­pared to anti-Indian ter­ror­ist groups. I find it pos­si­ble that the pub­lic might find one more palat­able than the other. Beyond that, I am some­what relieved to see more evi­dence that the military’s actions are deter­mined efforts to fight such groups. I (and the United States) could live with another nation polit­i­cally closer to China than the US, I’m not sure we could endure a gov­ern­ment giv­ing insur­gents and ter­ror­ists refuge and support.

  2. there will be no Peace in Pak­istan and Afgan­istan until amer­i­cans and neto are in afganistan.

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